As many college and international players are set to be drafted and secure their first contracts, let’s get in on the action and sweat where the players will be drafted. The NBA Draft is always entertaining, fast-paced and full of unpredictability. Let’s skip past the #1 and #2 pick as Zion and Ja Morant are basically set in stone and there is no value in those odds.
#3 Pick Outlook
Is it worth a shot on the field against R.J. Barrett for the number three pick? Current odds stand at Barrett (-1500) and the Field (+550). The Knicks’ last-minute workout of Daruis Garland can raise some suspicion but ultimately Barrett will be headed to play at the Mecca.
Will the Pels trade the #4 Pick?
The most intriguing pick of the draft will come at number four with the uncertainty of who will be drafted and if the Pelicans will keep this pick. Vegas has the odds of the trading the pick at Yes (-210) and No (+160). The reasoning behind trading the pick would be to either add a veteran player to complement their current roster and Zion or to accumulate other draft picks, be it in this year or future drafts. To acquire a marquee veteran, they would have to include one of Ball, Ingram or Randle with the #4 pick. A future pick scenario is difficult to predict but the Hawks would be a contender with their #8 and #10 selections. Ultimately, there is value in siding with No at (+160) if you believe the Pelicans want to pair Zion with another player maker for the foreseeable future.
Coby White Outlook
Where White lands could be affected by where Garland is drafted along with who is selected between Culver and Hunter before the Suns get on the clock at 6. Most signs are pointing that the Suns will select White, but the odds have not adjusted as he is still listed at under 6.5 (-130). The confidence behind this pick would be altered if Culver of Garland is not selected in the top 5. The likelihood that both fall out of the top 5 is low, so back White under 6.5.
Cam Reddish Outlook
If you are not a fan of Cam Reddish, here is your chance to double down on his draft stock. He has current odds of the 7.5 pick at over (-180) and under (+150). Reddish never found consistency at Duke and is leaving many NBA teams unconvinced. Additionally, Vegas has over/under 2.5 Duke players to be drafted in the Top 10 with the under showing some value at (+450). Here is a shot to receive a decent payout. Reddish should go at the earliest at number eight, but I am not convinced he will land in the top 10. The Hawks are primarily looking to shop their #8 and #10 pick because they are not sold on anyone there. Therefore, lay the juice with the over 7.5 for Reddish and separately, play under 2.5 Duke players. Even if he goes between 8-10, it would result in net even.
Rui Hachimura Outlook
The Japanese power forward did not participate in the NBA combine so that has drawn some attention. His size and athleticism will translate to the next level without an issue. He is a slight favorite to be drafted before the 14th pick of the draft according to Vegas (-145). The Wolves at #11 is an ideal fit for him while teams may be interested in trading up for him. I would lean towards the under here but the further along in the draft, it gets harder to predict.
Carsen Edwards Outlook
NCAA Tourney star, Carsen Edwards will be hoping to go in the first round as the contracts and stipulations are much greater than being selected in the second. However, Vegas has it at a coin toss with the odds at -110. Standing out in the tourney, especially in the later rounds is a guaranteed way to increase your stock. He’s shown his ability to heat up and score in bunches so that may lead a team to take him in the first. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Warriors snag him at #28 but it is more likely he falls to the Sixers at #33 or #34. His microwave ability is exactly what the Sixers were missing last postseason off the bench. Therefore, I am backing him to not be selected in the first round.
Best Bets Recap:
- Pelicans do not trade #4 Pick (+160)
- White under 6.5 (-130)
- Cam Reddish over 7.5 (-180)
- Duke under 2.5 players in Top 10 (+450)
- Carsen Edwards not selected in first round (-110)